Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.