Segunda Division
Apr 5, 2026 1.00pm
1
0
HT Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
  • Javi Martón 12' yellowcard

Eibar vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 2, 2026 7.00pm
Real Sociedad B 0 - 1 Eibar
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Javi Martón

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 7.00pm
Burgos 1 - 1 Ceuta
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Eibar win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw has a probability of 25.82% and a win for Ceuta has a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Ceuta win it is 0-1 (6.3%).

Result

Eibar 59.13% (-0.04)
Draw 25.82% (+0.04)
Ceuta 15.06% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.03% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.45% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 34.55% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 39.13%
Under 2.5 60.87%
Over 3.5 18.89%
Under 3.5 81.11%
Over 4.5 10.55% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.45% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Eibar 39.1%
Draw 42.29%
Ceuta 18.61%

Team To Score First

Eibar 59.2%
No Goal 10.91%
Ceuta 29.89%

Corners

Over 8 53.22%
Equal 8 12.44%
Under 8 34.34%
Over 9 40.97%
Equal 9 12.25%
Under 9 46.78%
Over 10.5 29.97%
Under 10.5 70.03%

Eibar Goals

Over 1.5 46.26% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 53.74% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 20.28% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 79.72% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.11% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.89% (+0.02)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 44.97% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 55.03% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 14.1%
Under 1.5 85.9%
Over 2.5 3.36%
Under 2.5 96.64%
Over 3.5 0.67%
Under 3.5 99.33%

Score analysis

Eibar 59.12%
Draw 25.8%
Ceuta 15.06%
Eibar
1-0 @ 17.32%
2-0 @ 13%
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.03% (-0.02)
Total : 59.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.8%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 6.3% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 15.06%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Oct 3, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT