Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.