Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.