Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.