Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.36% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%) , while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.