Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.77% and a win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Real Sociedad B win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.