Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.