Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.