Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%) , while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.