Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 1-0 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.