Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 9, 2026 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Diego González 27' yellowcard
  • Salvi 73' yellowcard
  • José Campaña 73' yellowcard
  • Anuar 73' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Almenara 84' yellowcard
  • Marcos Fernández 87' yellowcard
  • goal Fabrizio Brignani 52'
  • yellowcard Awer Mabil 56'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Camara 66'
  • yellowcard Diego Barri 67'
  • yellowcard Agustín Sienra 81'
  • yellowcard Raúl Sánchez 81'

Ceuta vs Castellon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 3.15pm
Sporting Gijon 1 - 2 Ceuta
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 2, 2026 5.30pm
Castellon 1 - 2 Cordoba
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Ousmane Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 1-0 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Ceuta 30.18%
Draw 26.83%
Castellon 42.99% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.52% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.48% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.81% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.19% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.83%
Under 3.5 73.17% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.13% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.87% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 22.11%
Draw 41.63%
Castellon 36.26%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 36.33% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.48% (-0.01)
Castellon 56.19%

Corners

Over 8 51.55%
Equal 8 12.57%
Under 8 35.88%
Over 9 39.35%
Equal 9 12.2%
Under 9 48.45%
Over 10.5 28.55%
Under 10.5 71.45%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.76% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.24% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.9% (-0.01)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5 74.17% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 25.83% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.87% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.13% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.19% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.81% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.51%
Under 3.5 94.49%

Score analysis

Ceuta 30.18%
Draw 26.83%
Castellon 42.98%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.99% (+0.02)
Total : 30.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.83%
Castellon
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.4%
Total : 42.98%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Sep 14, 2025 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT