Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 9, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta vs Castellon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 3, 2026 3.15pm
Sporting Gijon 1 - 2 Ceuta
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 2, 2026 5.30pm
Castellon 1 - 2 Cordoba
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Ousmane Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Castellon win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Ceuta has a probability of 30.18% and a draw has a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Ceuta win is 1-0 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.8%).

Result

Ceuta 30.18%
Draw 26.83%
Castellon 42.99% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.52% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.48% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.81% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.19% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.83%
Under 3.5 73.17% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.13% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.87% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 22.11%
Draw 41.63%
Castellon 36.26%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 36.33% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.48% (-0.01)
Castellon 56.19%

Corners

Over 8 51.55%
Equal 8 12.57%
Under 8 35.88%
Over 9 39.35%
Equal 9 12.2%
Under 9 48.45%
Over 10.5 28.55%
Under 10.5 71.45%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.76% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.24% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.9% (-0.01)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5 74.17% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 25.83% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.87% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.13% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.19% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.81% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.51%
Under 3.5 94.49%

Score analysis

Ceuta 30.18%
Draw 26.83%
Castellon 42.98%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.99% (+0.02)
Total : 30.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.83%
Castellon
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.4%
Total : 42.98%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Sep 14, 2025 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT