Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-2 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.