Segunda Division Gameweek 38
May 3, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio Municipal El Molinón

Sporting Gijon vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.00pm
Cordoba 3 - 2 Sporting Gijon
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Juan Otero

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 8.00pm
Ceuta 0 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw has a probability of 23.09% and a win for Ceuta has a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.37%) , while for a Ceuta win it is 0-1 (5.67%).

Result

Sporting Gijon 61.66% (-0.08)
Draw 23.09%
Ceuta 15.25% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.28% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.22% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.78% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 46.62% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 53.38% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 24.99% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 75.01% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.9% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 85.1% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Sporting Gijon 43.33%
Draw 40.32%
Ceuta 16.34%

Team To Score First

Sporting Gijon 63.18%
No Goal 8.44% (-0.01)
Ceuta 28.38% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.51%
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 29.48%
Over 9 46.16%
Equal 9 12.35%
Under 9 41.49%
Over 10.5 34.6%
Under 10.5 65.4%

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 1.5 52.24% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.76% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 25.38% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.99% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.01% (-0.01)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 47.94% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 52.06% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 16.43% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 83.57% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 3.92% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.82% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.18% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sporting Gijon 61.66%
Draw 23.1%
Ceuta 15.26%
Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 14.69% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 12.07% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.1%
3-0 @ 6.9% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.98% (+0.01)
Total : 61.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.71% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.1%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.13% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.81% (+0.03)
Total : 15.26%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Aug 23, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT