Segunda Division
May 3, 2026 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinón
  • Gaspar Campos 30' goal
  • Pablo García 46' yellowcard
  • Eric Curbelo 46' yellowcard
  • Dani Queipo 62' yellowcard
  • Amadou Coundoul 72' yellowcard
  • Miguel Conde 79' yellowcard
  • goal Andrés Cuenca 25' (OG)
  • goal Konrad de la Fuente 28'
  • yellowcard Salvi 46'
  • yellowcard Marc Domènech 63'
  • yellowcard José Matos 68'
  • yellowcard José Matos 69'
  • yellowcard José Campaña 90'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Almenara 90'

Sporting Gijon vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.00pm
Cordoba 3 - 2 Sporting Gijon
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Juan Otero

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 8.00pm
Ceuta 0 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Kuki Zalazar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.18% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%) , while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Gijon 61.35% (-0.54)
Draw 23.18% (+0.20)
Ceuta 15.5% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.53% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.21% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 28.79% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.59% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 53.41% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 24.86% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 75.14% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 14.79% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 85.21% (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Sporting Gijon 43.87%
Draw 39.8%
Ceuta 16.34%

Team To Score First

Sporting Gijon 63.21% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.46% (+0.06)
Ceuta 28.33% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.53%
Equal 8 12.03%
Under 8 29.44%
Over 9 46.16%
Equal 9 12.37%
Under 9 41.47%
Over 10.5 34.58%
Under 10.5 65.42%

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 1.5 51.97% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 48.03% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 25.12% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 74.88% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 9.82% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 90.18% (+0.25)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 48.26% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 51.74% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 16.65% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 83.35% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 4.03% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 95.97% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 0.85% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 99.15% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Sporting Gijon 61.36%
Draw 23.19%
Ceuta 15.51%
Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 14.68% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 10.14% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.81% (-0.25)
Total : 61.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.46% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.71% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.19%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 5.71% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.19% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.16% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.06% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.84% (+0.06)
Total : 15.51%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Aug 23, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT