Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Leganes win was 2-1 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.