Champions League
Jul 29, 2026 6.00pm
Enea stadion

Lech Poznan vs Aarhus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 6.00pm
Aarhus 1 - 4 Lech Poznan

Aarhus

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 6.00pm
Aarhus 1 - 4 Lech Poznan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Aarhus has a probability of 29.08% and a draw has a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Aarhus win is 0-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.61%).

Result

Lech Poznan 47.43% (+0.94)
Draw 23.52% (+0.29)
Aarhus 29.08% (-1.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.56% (-1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.34% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 21.66% (+0.77)
Over 2.5 56.17% (-1.18)
Under 2.5 43.83% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 34.51% (-1.07)
Under 3.5 65.49% (+1.06)
Over 4.5 21.26% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 78.74% (+0.65)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 37.76% (+1.06)
Draw 40.26% (-0.71)
Aarhus 21.98% (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 56.5% (+0.72)
No Goal 5.88% (+0.37)
Aarhus 37.62% (-1.08)

Corners

Over 8 66.19% (+3.02)
Equal 8 10.79% (-0.28)
Under 8 23.01% (-2.76)
Over 9 54.4% (+3.00)
Equal 9 11.79% (+0.01)
Under 9 33.8% (-3.04)
Over 10.5 42.68% (+2.75)
Under 10.5 57.32% (-2.75)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 47.91% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 52.09% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 23.97% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 76.03% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 9.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.18% (+0.03)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5 64.39% (-1.18)
Under 0.5 35.61% (+1.18)
Over 1.5 32.75% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 67.25% (+1.54)
Over 2.5 12.69% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 87.31% (+0.94)
Over 3.5 4.39% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 95.61% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 47.44%
Draw 23.52%
Aarhus 29.07%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.03% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 8.89% (+0.36)
2-0 @ 7.16% (+0.43)
3-1 @ 5.08% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.12% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.05)
Other @ 9.59% (-0.05)
Total : 47.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 5.88% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.23% (+0.03)
Total : 23.52%
Aarhus
0-1 @ 6.92% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.14)
Other @ 4.16% (-0.36)
Total : 29.07%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 21, 2026 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Cepheus Park Randers
  • Jesper Hansen 37' redcard
  • Gift Links 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Kristian Arnstad 55' goal
  • goal Mikael Ishak  29'
  • goal Patrik Wålemark 42'
  • yellowcard Radosław Murawski 50'
  • goal Terry Yegbe 61'
  • goal Patrik Wålemark 65'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 69'