Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG vs Aarhus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 5, 2026 12.00pm
Union SG 4 - 0 FCSB

Aarhus

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 5, 2026 1.00pm
Aarhus 4 - 0 Motherwell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw has a probability of 26.96% and a win for Aarhus has a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.27%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.01%) , while for a Aarhus win it is 0-1 (6.69%).

Result

Union SG 50.88% (+0.06)
Draw 26.96%
Aarhus 22.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.13% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.05% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 48.62%
Under 2.5 51.38%
Over 3.5 26.23%
Under 3.5 73.77% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.72% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.28% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Union SG 34.65%
Draw 45.56%
Aarhus 19.8%

Team To Score First

Union SG 56.81%
No Goal 7.72%
Aarhus 35.47%

Corners

Over 8 55.9% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 32.2%
Over 9 43.96%
Equal 9 11.95%
Under 9 44.1% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.97%
Under 10.5 67.03%

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 46.78% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.22% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.19%
Under 2.5 78.81%
Over 3.5 7.81%
Under 3.5 92.19%

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5 59.13%
Under 0.5 40.87%
Over 1.5 24.61% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.39% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.69% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.89%
Under 3.5 98.11%

Score analysis

Union SG 50.88%
Draw 26.96%
Aarhus 22.16%
Union SG
1-0 @ 11.64% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.27% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.86% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.98% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 7.67%
Total : 50.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 5.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.96%
Aarhus
0-1 @ 6.69% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.16%