Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Joseph Mariën
  • Ilan Hurtevent 29' goal
  • 90'+25' goal
  • goal Frederik Tingager 68'

Union SG vs Aarhus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 5, 2026 12.00pm
Union SG 4 - 0 FCSB

Aarhus

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 5, 2026 1.00pm
Aarhus 4 - 0 Motherwell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.96% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.27%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%) , while for a Aarhus win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Union SG 50.88%
Draw 26.96%
Aarhus 22.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.95%
Under 1.5 26.05%
Over 2.5 48.62%
Under 2.5 51.38%
Over 3.5 26.23%
Under 3.5 73.77%
Over 4.5 14.72%
Under 4.5 85.28%

First Half Winner

Union SG 34.65%
Draw 45.56%
Aarhus 19.8%

Team To Score First

Union SG 56.81%
No Goal 7.72%
Aarhus 35.47%

Corners

Over 8 55.9%
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 32.21% (+0.01)
Over 9 43.96%
Equal 9 11.94% (-0.01)
Under 9 44.1%
Over 10.5 32.97%
Under 10.5 67.03%

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 46.78%
Under 1.5 53.22%
Over 2.5 21.19%
Under 2.5 78.81%
Over 3.5 7.81%
Under 3.5 92.19%

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5 59.13%
Under 0.5 40.87%
Over 1.5 24.61%
Under 1.5 75.39%
Over 2.5 7.31%
Under 2.5 92.69%
Over 3.5 1.89%
Under 3.5 98.11%

Score analysis

Union SG 50.88%
Draw 26.96%
Aarhus 22.16%
Union SG
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 10.27%
2-0 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 7.67%
Total : 50.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 5.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.96%
Aarhus
0-1 @ 6.69%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.16%