Danish Superliga
Apr 26, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vejlby Stadion
  • Patrick Mortensen 46' yellowcard
  • Frederik Emmery 70' yellowcard
  • Jacob Andersen 70' yellowcard
  • Frederik Tingager 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denil Castillo 58'
  • yellowcard Franculino 58'
  • yellowcard Mikel Gogorza 69'

Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aarhus

All competitions
Danish Superliga
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 5.00pm
Nordsjaelland 1 - 1 Aarhus
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Rasmus Carstensen

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Danish Superliga
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 7.00pm
SonderjyskE 1 - 2 Midtjylland
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aral Simsir

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Aarhus 38.47% (+0.01)
Draw 26.42% (-0.01)
FC Midtjylland 35.07% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.69% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.49% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 25.51% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 50.82%
Under 2.5 49.18%
Over 3.5 28.5% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.5% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.86% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.14% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Aarhus 33.54% (-0.01)
Draw 41.44% (+0.02)
FC Midtjylland 25.02% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Aarhus 52.45% (+0.09)
No Goal 7.28% (-0.01)
FC Midtjylland 40.27% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.8%
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 31.41% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.9% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.9% (-0.01)
Under 9 43.2%
Over 10.5 33.89% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.11% (-0.02)

Aarhus Goals

Over 1.5 38.3% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.7% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.29% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.71% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.59% (-0.01)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5 69.13% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 30.87% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 35.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.89% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.11% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.41%
Under 3.5 95.59%

Score analysis

Aarhus 38.48%
Draw 26.42%
FC Midtjylland 35.06%
Aarhus
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.17% (+0.01)
Total : 38.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 26.42%
FC Midtjylland
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.47% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 35.06%

Head to Head

Danish Superliga Gameweek 5
Apr 20, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT MCH Arena
  • Franculino 54' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 54' yellowcard
  • Edward Chilufya 71' yellowcard
  • Jesper Hansen 83' goal
  • Julius Emefile 84' yellowcard
  • Julius Emefile 90'+3' goal
  • goal Henrik Dalsgaard 20'
  • yellowcard Frederik Tingager 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mortensen 63'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Poulsen 75'
  • yellowcard Jonas Jensen-Abbew 90'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Jørgensen 90'
Danish Superliga
Nov 3, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Danish Superliga Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Danish Superliga Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT MCH Arena
  • Denil Castillo 7' yellowcard
  • Oliver Sorensen 22' goal
  • Valdemar Byskov 73' redcard
  • Franculino 83' goal
  • Dario Osorio 88' goal
  • yellowcard Tobias Bech 21'
  • goal Kristian Arnstad 59'
  • redcard Tobias Bech 85'
Danish Superliga Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vejlby Stadion
  • Patrick Mortensen 49' goal
  • Tobias Bach 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mikel Gogorza 51'
  • yellowcard Dani Silva 79'
  • yellowcard Denil Castillo 80'
  • yellowcard Adam Buksa 90'+6'
Danish Superliga Gameweek 13
Oct 27, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT MCH Arena
  • Kevin Mbabu 34' goal
  • Kevin Mbabu 86' yellowcard
  • Franculino 90' goal
  • Franculino 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gift Links 50'