Danish Superliga Gameweek 5
Apr 20, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT MCH Arena
  • Franculino 54' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 54' yellowcard
  • Edward Chilufya 71' yellowcard
  • Jesper Hansen 83' goal
  • Julius Emefile 84' yellowcard
  • Julius Emefile 90'+3' goal
  • goal Henrik Dalsgaard 20'
  • yellowcard Frederik Tingager 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mortensen 63'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Poulsen 75'
  • yellowcard Jonas Jensen-Abbew 90'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Jørgensen 90'

FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Danish Superliga
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
Brondby 1 - 2 Midtjylland
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aral Simsir

Aarhus

All competitions
Danish Superliga
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 6.00pm
Aarhus 1 - 1 Nordsjaelland
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Rasmus Carstensen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

FC Midtjylland 44.74% (+0.02)
Draw 26.11% (+0.02)
Aarhus 29.15% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.89% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.91% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 25.09% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 50.4% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 49.6% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 28.95% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 71.01% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.99% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.01% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

FC Midtjylland 33.46% (+0.08)
Draw 40.99% (-0.12)
Aarhus 25.55% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

FC Midtjylland 50.98% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.88% (+0.01)
Aarhus 42.14% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.57%
Equal 8 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.62% (-0.01)
Over 9 46.45%
Equal 9 12.13% (+0.02)
Under 9 41.43%
Over 10.5 35.08%
Under 10.5 64.92%

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 1.5 43.28% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.72% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.03% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 80.97% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.72% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.28% (+0.04)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5 64.7% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 35.3% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 31.17% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 68.83% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 11.09% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.91% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.36% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.64% (+0.02)

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 44.74%
Draw 26.1%
Aarhus 29.14%
FC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 10.43% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 6.54% (-0.02)
Total : 44.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 26.1%
Aarhus
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.18% (-0.01)
Total : 29.14%

Head to Head

Danish Superliga
Nov 3, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Danish Superliga Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Danish Superliga Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT MCH Arena
  • Denil Castillo 7' yellowcard
  • Oliver Sorensen 22' goal
  • Valdemar Byskov 73' redcard
  • Franculino 83' goal
  • Dario Osorio 88' goal
  • yellowcard Tobias Bech 21'
  • goal Kristian Arnstad 59'
  • redcard Tobias Bech 85'
Danish Superliga Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vejlby Stadion
  • Patrick Mortensen 49' goal
  • Tobias Bach 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mikel Gogorza 51'
  • yellowcard Dani Silva 79'
  • yellowcard Denil Castillo 80'
  • yellowcard Adam Buksa 90'+6'
Danish Superliga Gameweek 13
Oct 27, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT MCH Arena
  • Kevin Mbabu 34' goal
  • Kevin Mbabu 86' yellowcard
  • Franculino 90' goal
  • Franculino 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gift Links 50'
Danish Superliga Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ceres Park
  • Tobias Bech 8' goal
  • Mikael Anderson 35' yellowcard
  • Uwe Rosler 36' yellowcard
  • Jacob Andersen 89' yellowcard
  • Jacob Andersen 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Buksa 47'