Danish Superliga Gameweek 5
Apr 20, 2026 6.00pm
MCH Arena

FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Danish Superliga
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 3.00pm
Brondby 1 - 2 Midtjylland
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Aral Simsir

Aarhus

All competitions
Danish Superliga
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 6.00pm
Aarhus 1 - 1 Nordsjaelland
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Rasmus Carstensen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Aarhus has a probability of 29.16% and a draw has a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Aarhus win is 0-1 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

FC Midtjylland 44.78% (-0.98)
Draw 26.06% (+0.54)
Aarhus 29.16% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.04% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.03% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 24.97% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 50.57% (-1.11)
Under 2.5 49.43% (+1.11)
Over 3.5 29.05% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 70.95% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 16.08% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 83.92% (+0.52)

First Half Winner

FC Midtjylland 33.39% (-1.59)
Draw 41.08% (+0.93)
Aarhus 25.53% (+0.67)

Team To Score First

FC Midtjylland 51.03% (-1.50)
No Goal 6.85% (+0.13)
Aarhus 42.12% (+1.37)

Corners

Over 8 58.63% (-1.88)
Equal 8 11.8% (+0.28)
Under 8 29.57% (+1.63)
Over 9 46.51% (-1.97)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.09)
Under 9 41.37% (+1.88)
Over 10.5 35.14% (-1.89)
Under 10.5 64.86% (+1.89)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 1.5 43.41% (-1.12)
Under 1.5 56.59% (+1.12)
Over 2.5 19.13% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 80.87% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 6.77% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 93.23% (+0.36)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5 64.74% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 35.26% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 31.26% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 68.74% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 11.17% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 88.83% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.38% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.62% (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 44.78%
Draw 26.06%
Aarhus 29.17%
FC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 10.39% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.38)
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.09)
Other @ 6.58% (-0.38)
Total : 44.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (+0.34)
0-0 @ 6.85% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.61% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 26.06%
Aarhus
0-1 @ 7.74% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.54% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head

Danish Superliga
Nov 3, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Danish Superliga Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Danish Superliga Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT MCH Arena
  • Denil Castillo 7' yellowcard
  • Oliver Sorensen 22' goal
  • Valdemar Byskov 73' redcard
  • Franculino 83' goal
  • Dario Osorio 88' goal
  • yellowcard Tobias Bech 21'
  • goal Kristian Arnstad 59'
  • redcard Tobias Bech 85'
Danish Superliga Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vejlby Stadion
  • Patrick Mortensen 49' goal
  • Tobias Bach 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mikel Gogorza 51'
  • yellowcard Dani Silva 79'
  • yellowcard Denil Castillo 80'
  • yellowcard Adam Buksa 90'+6'
Danish Superliga Gameweek 13
Oct 27, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT MCH Arena
  • Kevin Mbabu 34' goal
  • Kevin Mbabu 86' yellowcard
  • Franculino 90' goal
  • Franculino 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gift Links 50'
Danish Superliga Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ceres Park
  • Tobias Bech 8' goal
  • Mikael Anderson 35' yellowcard
  • Uwe Rosler 36' yellowcard
  • Jacob Andersen 89' yellowcard
  • Jacob Andersen 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Buksa 47'