May 14, 2026 2.00pm

3

1

ET Stade Roi Baudouin

Kevin Rodríguez 65'
Kevin Mac Allister 74'
Kamiel Van De Perre 78'
Mohammed Fuseini 85'
Ousseynou Niang 91'
Mohammed Fuseini 95'
Kevin Rodríguez 100'
Louis Patris 106'
Ivan Pavlić 111'

Adriano Bertaccini 67'
Yari Verschaeren 67'
Mihajlo Cvetkovic 80'
César Huerta 83'
Danylo Sikan 89'
Killian Sardella 103'
Ibrahim Kanaté 103'

Union SG vs Anderlecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions

W
L
W
D
W
W

Anderlecht

All competitions

D
L
L
L
W
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 0-1 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Union SG 48.04% ▼ (-3.25)

Draw 24.56% ▲ (+0.20)

Anderlecht 27.36% ▲ (+3.00)

Both Teams to Score:

52.62% ▲ (+1.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.2% ▲ (+0.49)

Under 1.5 24.8% ▼ (-0.49)

Over 2.5 51.29% ▲ (+0.65)

Under 2.5 48.71% ▼ (-0.65)

Over 3.5 28.64% ▲ (+0.61)

Under 3.5 71.36% ▼ (-0.60)

Over 4.5 16.66% ▲ (+0.27)

Under 4.5 83.34% ▼ (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Union SG 38.92%

Draw 40.54%

Anderlecht 20.54%

Team To Score First

Union SG 60.11% ▲ (+0.14)

No Goal 6.57% ▼ (-0.21)

Anderlecht 33.32% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 55.11%

Equal 8 11.59%

Under 8 33.3%

Over 9 43.55%

Equal 9 11.56%

Under 9 44.89%

Over 10.5 32.95%

Under 10.5 67.05%

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 45.48% ▼ (-2.04)

Under 1.5 54.52% ▲ (+2.04)

Over 2.5 20.51% ▼ (-1.40)

Under 2.5 79.49% ▲ (+1.40)

Over 3.5 8.22% ▼ (-0.67)

Under 3.5 91.78% ▲ (+0.68)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5 62.08% ▲ (+2.90)

Under 0.5 37.92% ▼ (-2.90)

Over 1.5 28.71% ▲ (+2.97)

Under 1.5 71.29% ▼ (-2.96)

Over 2.5 10.62% ▲ (+1.63)

Under 2.5 89.38% ▼ (-1.64)

Over 3.5 3.2% ▲ (+0.63)

Under 3.5 96.8% ▼ (-0.63)

Score analysis

Union SG 48.03%

Draw 24.56%

Anderlecht 27.36%

Union SG

1-0 @ 10.75% ▼ (-0.70)

2-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.27)

2-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.82)

3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.29)

3-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.55)

3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.69)

Total : 48.03%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.68% ▲ (+0.10)

0-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.21)

2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.22)

3-3 @ 1.07%

Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 24.56%

Anderlecht

0-1 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.38)

1-2 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.54)

0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.55)

1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.40)

0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.32)

2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.22)

Other @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.61)

Total : 27.36%

Head to Head

Apr 26, 2026 5.30pm

1

3

HT : 1 2

FT Lotto Park

Mihajlo Cvetkovic 32'
Lucas Hey 46'
Adriano Bertaccini 61'
Ibrahim Kanaté 70'
Mathys Angély 81'
Joshua Nga Kana 81'

Adem Zorgane 17'
Adem Zorgane 25'
Guilherme Smith 65'
Ousseynou Niang 66'
Louis Patris 76'
Rob Schoofs 76'
Mohammed Fuseini 81'
Ivan Pavlić 81'

Nov 30, 2025 5.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Nilson Angulo 11'
Nathan De Cat 29'
Thorgan Hazard 74'

Kamiel Van de Perre 9'
Anouar Ait El Hadj 25'
Anan Khalaili 69'
90'+7'
Christian Burgess 90'+7'

Aug 31, 2025 5.30pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

May 10, 2025 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Lotto Park

Moussa Ndiaye 57'
Tristan Degreef 82'

Mohammed Fuseini 27'
Christian Burgess 33'
Kevin Mac Allister 37'
Noah Sadiki 50'
Ross Sykes 90'+3'

Apr 12, 2025 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))

Ousseynou Niang 34'
Noah Sadiki 37'
Promise Akinpelu 45'
Alessio Castro-Montes 60'
Anan Khalaili 62'
Anouar Ait El Hadj 82'

Jan-Carlo Simic 54'
Luis Vasquez 63'
Nathan De Cat 81'
Nathan De Cat 88'

Feb 23, 2025 5.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Lotto Park

Killian Sardella 48'
Ali Maamar 50'
Luis Vasquez 88'

Anan Khalaili 33'
Sofiane Boufal 45'+3'
Ousseynou Niang 70'
Kevin Mac Allister 72'

Form Data

Union SG 3 - 0 Mechelen

Sint-Truiden 2 - 1 Union SG

Anderlecht 1 - 3 Union SG

Union SG 0 - 0 Gent

Union SG 2 - 1 Brugge

Mechelen 0 - 1 Union SG

Gent 1 - 1 Anderlecht

Anderlecht 1 - 3 Brugge

Anderlecht 1 - 3 Union SG

Sint-Truiden 2 - 0 Anderlecht

Mechelen 1 - 2 Anderlecht

Anderlecht 3 - 1 Gent