Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.