Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.