Belgian Pro League Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2026 6.15pm
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven vs Mechelen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 7.45pm
Leuven 0 - 0 Union SG
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Sory Kaba

Mechelen

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 6.15pm
Mechelen 1 - 1 Westerlo
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Therence Koudou

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leuven win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Mechelen has a probability of 37.45% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Mechelen win is 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.77%).

Result

Leuven 38.45% (+0.71)
Draw 24.1% (-0.10)
Mechelen 37.45% (-0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.47% (+0.80)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.92% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 24.08% (-0.62)
Over 2.5 52.28% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 47.72% (-0.83)
Over 3.5 29.79% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 70.21% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 16.37% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 83.63% (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Leuven 32.76%
Draw 41.6%
Mechelen 25.64%

Team To Score First

Leuven 47.46% (+0.12)
No Goal 6% (-0.24)
Mechelen 46.54% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 66.39%
Equal 8 10.18%
Under 8 23.43%
Over 9 55.29%
Equal 9 11.11%
Under 9 33.61%
Over 10.5 44.16%
Under 10.5 55.84%

Leuven Goals

Over 1.5 38.33% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 61.67% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 16.01% (+0.62)
Under 2.5 83.99% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 5.2% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 94.8% (-0.24)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5 71.11% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 28.89% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 37.6%
Under 1.5 62.4%
Over 2.5 14.87% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.13% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Leuven 38.45%
Draw 24.12%
Mechelen 37.44%
Leuven
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.49% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 5.89% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.17% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.81% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.19% (+0.24)
Total : 38.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.12%
Mechelen
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.32)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.54% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.8% (+0.02)
Total : 37.44%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Oct 25, 2025 5.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 7
May 3, 2025 5.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Birger Verstraete 22' yellowcard
  • Siebe Schrijvers 38' yellowcard
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 55' yellowcard
  • Ewoud Pletinckx 89' goal
  • William Balikwisha 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tobe Leysen 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Rob Schoofs 45'+1'
  • goal Nikola Storm 81'
  • yellowcard Bas Van den Eynden 83'
  • yellowcard Patrick Pflucke 90'+2'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Lion Lauberbach 17' goal
  • Lion Lauberbach 17' goal
  • Nikola Storm 57' yellowcard
  • goal Siebe Schrijvers 20'
  • goal Siebe Schrijvers 20'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 24
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 1' yellowcard
  • Stefan Mitrovic 5' goal
  • Birger Verstraete 35' yellowcard
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 44' redcard
  • Tobe Leysen 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ahmed Touba 34'
  • yellowcard Fredrik Hammar 40'
  • yellowcard Rob Schoofs 56'
  • yellowcard Kerim Mrabti 89'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 14' goal
  • Rob Schoofs 18' goal
  • Jose Marsa 27' yellowcard
  • Lion Lauberbach 58' goal
  • Petter Dahl 77' goal
  • Bilal Bafdili 90'+3' goal
  • redcard Federico Ricca 12'
  • yellowcard Oscar Garcia 62'
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 64'
  • yellowcard Ezechiel Banzuzi 74'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Rob Schoofs 47' goal
  • Norman Bassette 58' goal
  • Kerim Mrabti 70' yellowcard
  • Kerim Mrabti 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 75'