Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 0-1 (8.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.