Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.