Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Gent had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.