Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.