Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.