Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Dender had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-0 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.