Belgian Pro League Gameweek 25
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven vs Dender - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 7.45pm
Gent 1 - 3 Leuven
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Sory Kaba

Dender

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Zulte 0 - 0 Dender
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Bruny Nsimba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leuven win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Dender has a probability of 31.24% and a draw has a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Dender win is 0-1 (9.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.18%).

Result

Leuven 40.81% (-0.06)
Draw 27.98% (+0.06)
Dender 31.24% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.96% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.97% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 44.42% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.58% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.53% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.85% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.15% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Leuven 32.84% (-0.02)
Draw 41.81% (-0.09)
Dender 25.35% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Leuven 48.89% (-0.08)
No Goal 8.72% (+0.01)
Dender 42.39% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 63.02% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.05% (+0.02)
Under 8 25.93% (+0.06)
Over 9 51.26% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.98% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 39.83% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 60.17% (+0.08)

Leuven Goals

Over 1.5 37.03% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 62.97% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.38% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 85.62% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.47% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.53% (+0.02)

Dender Goals

Over 0.5 64.99% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 35.01% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.86% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.14% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.07% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.93% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.68% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.32% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Leuven 40.81%
Draw 27.98%
Dender 31.22%
Leuven
1-0 @ 11.66% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.38% (-0.03)
Total : 40.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.72% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.98%
Dender
0-1 @ 9.6% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.33% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.59% (+0.01)
Total : 31.22%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Aug 24, 2025 6.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 6.15pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Van Roystadion
  • David Hrncar 6' goal
  • Bryan Goncalves 18' goal
  • Bruny Nsimba 22' goal
  • Nathan Rodes 28' goal
  • Mohamed Berte 90' goal
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Manuel Osifo 87'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
4
4
HT : 3 1
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 22' goal
  • William Balikwisha 33' goal
  • Siebe Schrijvers 39' goal
  • Manuel Osifo 79' yellowcard
  • Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 82' goal
  • goal Mohamed Berte 3'
  • goal David Hrncar 57'
  • goal Aurelien Scheidler 74'
  • yellowcard Roman Kvet 80'
  • goal Aurelien Scheidler 90'+2'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 26
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Hasan Kurucay 30' goal
  • Siebe Schrijvers 89' goal
  • Lequincio Zeefuik 90' yellowcard
  • Jovan Mijatovic 90'+2' goal
  • Siebe Schrijvers 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Berte 9'
  • goal David Hrncar 39'
  • yellowcard Joedrick Pupe 48'
  • yellowcard Bryan Goncalves 90'+7'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2024 5.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Van Roystadion
  • Jasper van Oudenhove 15' yellowcard
  • Nathan Rodes 44' goal
  • Bryan Goncalves 45' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Berte 80' yellowcard
  • Roman Kvet 88' yellowcard
  • Bruny Nsimba 90' yellowcard
  • David Hrncar 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hasan Kurucay 9'
  • yellowcard Birger Verstraete 18'
  • goal Youssef Maziz 22'