Belgian Pro League Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2026 5.15pm
Van Roystadion

Dender vs Charleroi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dender

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 6.15pm
Cercle Brugge 0 - 0 Dender
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Bruny Nsimba

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 5.30pm
Charleroi 1 - 2 Brugge
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Parfait Guiagon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Dender has a probability of 28.97% and a draw has a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Dender win is 1-0 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.3%).

Result

Dender 28.97% (-0.05)
Draw 24.39%
Charleroi 46.63% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.12% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.94% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.06% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.89% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.11% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.75% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.24% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.94% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.06% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Dender 24.96%
Draw 40.72%
Charleroi 34.33%

Team To Score First

Dender 38.24%
No Goal 5.77% (-0.02)
Charleroi 55.99% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.82%
Equal 8 11.67%
Under 8 31.52%
Over 9 45.02%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 43.18%
Over 10.5 34.07%
Under 10.5 65.93%

Dender Goals

Over 1.5 32.48% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.52% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 12.13% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.87% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.78%
Under 3.5 96.22%

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5 77.54% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.46% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 47.05% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.95% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.89% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.11% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Dender 28.97%
Draw 24.4%
Charleroi 46.63%
Dender
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 28.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.4%
Charleroi
1-2 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 5%
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 3.19%
Other @ 8.29% (+0.02)
Total : 46.63%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Aug 30, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 6
Apr 26, 2025 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Adem Zorgane 14' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 17' goal
  • Daan Heymans 63' goal
  • Zan Rogelj 87' goal
  • Nikola Stulic 90' goal
  • yellowcard Gilles Ruyssen 16'
  • yellowcard Dembo Sylla 33'
  • goal Roman Kvet 69'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 5
Apr 22, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Van Roystadion
  • Roman Kvet 55' goal
  • Kobe Cools 68' yellowcard
  • Aurelien Scheidler 69' goal
  • Aurelien Scheidler 74' yellowcard
  • Lennard Hens 74' yellowcard
  • goal Parfait Guiagon 20'
  • yellowcard Mardochee Nzita 59'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Adem Zorgane 8' goal
  • Nikola Stulic 17' goal
  • Nikola Stulic 44' goal
  • Aiham Ousou 63' yellowcard
  • Daan Heymans 71' goal
  • Antoine Bernier 82' goal
  • yellowcard Bryan Goncalves 14'
  • redcard Bruny Nsimba 40'
  • redcard Aurelien Scheidler 45'+2'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Van Roystadion
  • Karol Fila 5' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Kone 13' goal
  • Kobe Cools 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rik De Mil 6'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Petris 11'
  • yellowcard Aiham Ousou 27'