Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Dender had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-0 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.