Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.27% and a win for Dender had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Dender win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.