Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.68% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%) , while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.