Belgian Pro League Gameweek 7
May 10, 2026 5.30pm
Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG vs Mechelen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.45pm
Sint-Truiden 2 - 1 Union SG
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Guilherme Smith

Mechelen

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30pm
Mechelen 1 - 0 Gent
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Myron van Brederode

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw has a probability of 19.68% and a win for Mechelen has a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.28%) , while for a Mechelen win it is 0-1 (4.57%).

Result

Union SG 67.87% (-0.07)
Draw 19.68%
Mechelen 12.42% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.62% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.85% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.15% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 52.07% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.93% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.11% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.89% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Union SG 49.23%
Draw 37.5%
Mechelen 13.28%

Team To Score First

Union SG 69.29% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.33% (-0.02)
Mechelen 24.38% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.03%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 29.39%
Over 9 47.1%
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 40.97%
Over 10.5 35.87%
Under 10.5 64.13%

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 59.58% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 40.42% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 32.63% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 67.37% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 14.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 85.41% (-0.02)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5 44.59% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 55.41% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 14.39% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 85.61% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 3.37% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 96.63% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.7% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.3% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Union SG 67.88%
Draw 19.68%
Mechelen 12.41%
Union SG
1-0 @ 13.22% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.87% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58%
3-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 14.53%
Total : 67.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.28%
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 19.68%
Mechelen
0-1 @ 4.57%
1-2 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 12.41%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Apr 12, 2026 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Bouke Boersma 74' yellowcard
  • Keano Vanrafelghem 80' yellowcard
  • Bilal Bafdili 88' yellowcard
  • Maxim Kireev 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ross Sykes 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Raul Florucz 65'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Fuseini 76'
  • yellowcard Kamiel Van De Perre 76'
  • yellowcard Ivan Pavlić 90'+5'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 21
Jan 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Joseph Mariën
  • Promise Akinpelu 35' goal
  • Promise David 35' goal
  • Mathias Rasmussen 57' yellowcard
  • Fedde Leysen 57' yellowcard
  • Kevin Rodriguez 70' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Fuseini 70' yellowcard
  • Raul Florucz 70' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Kevin Rodríguez 70' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Mateo Biondic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Marsa 46'
  • yellowcard José Marsà 46'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Bill Antonio 70'
  • yellowcard Keano Vanrafelghem 78'
  • yellowcard Hassane Bande 78'
  • yellowcard H. Bandé 78'
Belgian Pro League
Nov 9, 2025 6.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Promise Akinpelu 50' yellowcard
  • Sofiane Boufal 80' yellowcard
  • Ross Sykes 86' yellowcard
  • Noah Sadiki 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Benito Raman 42'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Touba 43'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Ahmed Touba 42' yellowcard
  • Jose Marsa 46' yellowcard
  • Kerim Mrabti 88' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Touba 90'+3' goal
  • Besnik Hasi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Promise Akinpelu 20'
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Niang 25'
  • yellowcard Jean Thierry Lazare 33'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 77'
  • yellowcard Kamiel Van de Perre 90'
  • yellowcard Anthony Moris 90'+2'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 54' goal
  • Gustaf Nilsson 74' yellowcard
  • Loic Lapoussin 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bilal Bafdili 90'+3'