Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.