Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%).