Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.