Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.