Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (9.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.