Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.