Champions League
Jul 21, 2026 6.00pm
Cepheus Park Randers

Aarhus vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aarhus

All competitions

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aarhus win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Lech Poznan has a probability of 29.43% and a draw has a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aarhus win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win is 0-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.68%).

Result

Aarhus 45.33% (+0.65)
Draw 25.25% (-0.20)
Lech Poznan 29.43% (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.18% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.84% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 24.16% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 52.04% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.96% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 29.61% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 70.39% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 16.93% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 83.07% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Aarhus 33.09% (-0.82)
Draw 41.06% (+1.06)
Lech Poznan 25.86% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Aarhus 54.4% (-0.79)
No Goal 6.62% (+0.03)
Lech Poznan 38.98% (+0.77)

Corners

Over 8 55.9% (+0.33)
Equal 8 11.3% (+0.07)
Under 8 32.79% (-0.39)
Over 9 44.57% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.08)
Under 9 44.1% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 34.1% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 65.9% (-0.18)

Aarhus Goals

Over 1.5 44.37% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 55.63% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 19.96% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 80.04% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 7.15% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 92.85% (+0.10)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 64.98% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 35.02% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 31.87% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 68.13% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 11.76% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 88.24% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 3.63% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 96.37% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Aarhus 45.33%
Draw 25.25%
Lech Poznan 29.43%
Aarhus
1-0 @ 9.96% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 7.61% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.95% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.15)
Other @ 6.89% (-0.08)
Total : 45.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 6.62% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.03)
Total : 25.25%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.11% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.37% (-0.11)
Total : 29.43%