Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 16, 2026 7.15pm
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza

Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Radomiak Radom

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 11, 2026 6.00pm
Cracovia 0 - 0 Radomiak Radom
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Abdoul Tapsoba

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
Lech Poznan 1 - 1 Arka Gdynia
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Radomiak Radom has a probability of 26.27% and a draw has a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win is 2-1 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).

Result

Radomiak Radom 26.27% (+0.10)
Draw 25.65% (+0.03)
Lech Poznan 48.08% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.28% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.39% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 54.09% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 31.91% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 68.09% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.85% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 82.15% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Radomiak Radom 22.74% (+0.01)
Draw 40.02%
Lech Poznan 37.24% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Radomiak Radom 38.92% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.44% (+0.03)
Lech Poznan 54.64% (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 64.34% (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.9% (+0.04)
Under 8 24.76% (-0.15)
Over 9 52.62% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.06)
Under 9 35.66% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 41.11% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 58.89% (-0.01)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 1.5 30.3% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 69.7% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 10.39% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 89.61% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.89% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.11% (-0.04)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 78.91% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 21.09% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 48.24% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 51.76% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 22.67% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.33% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.11% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.89% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Radomiak Radom 26.27%
Draw 25.65%
Lech Poznan 48.08%
Radomiak Radom
2-1 @ 6.87%
1-0 @ 6.75% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.77% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73% (+0.03)
Total : 26.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 25.65%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.77% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.95% (+0.03)
Total : 48.08%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 23, 2025 1.45pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza
  • Capita 79' goal
  • Abdoul Tapsoba 90'+1' goal
  • goal Mikael Ishak 5'
  • goal Filip Jagiello 34'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 13
Oct 26, 2024 7.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Joel Pereira 17' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 72' goal
  • yellowcard Zie Ouattara 16'
  • goal Zie Ouattara 49'
  • yellowcard Christos Donis 54'
  • yellowcard Vagner Goncalves 90'+4'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza
  • Christos Donis 15' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pik 47' yellowcard
  • Raphael 64' yellowcard
  • Dawid Abramowicz 79' goal
  • Pedro Henrique 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Rocha 90'+5' goal
  • Leonardo Rocha 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John van den Brom 0'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Salamon 16'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Velde 16'
  • yellowcard Dino Hotic 18'
  • goal Nika Kvekveskiri 30'
  • yellowcard Jesper Karlstrom 33'
  • goal Joel Pereira 50'
  • yellowcard Filip Marchwinski 54'
  • redcard Jesper Karlstrom 64'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 64'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Mrozek 68'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Velde 76'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT INEA stadion
  • John van den Brom 0' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 25' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ishak 40' goal
  • Elias Andersson 56' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 57' yellowcard
  • Barry Douglas 82' yellowcard
  • Filip Szymczak 83' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Machado 25'
  • yellowcard Damian Jakubik 53'