Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 2-1 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.