Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.65% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Motor Lublin win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.