Polish Ekstraklasa
May 2, 2026 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Fábio Ronaldo 65' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 65' yellowcard
  • Renat Dadashov 77' yellowcard
  • Filip Wojcik 77' yellowcard
  • Kacper Karasek 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Håkans 19'
  • goal Leo Bengtsson 40'
  • yellowcard Filip Jagiello 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 65'
  • yellowcard Robert Gumny 79'
  • yellowcard Taofeek Ismaheel 79'

Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.45pm
Widzew Lodz 2 - 0 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 4.30pm
Lech Poznan 4 - 0 Legia
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.65% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Motor Lublin win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 23.6% (-0.95)
Draw 24.65% (+0.14)
Lech Poznan 51.7% (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.09% (-0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.86% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 23.14% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 52.7% (-0.95)
Under 2.5 47.3% (+0.95)
Over 3.5 30.8% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 69.2% (+0.83)
Over 4.5 17.62% (-0.61)
Under 4.5 82.38% (+0.61)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 21.4% (-0.21)
Draw 39.64% (+0.42)
Lech Poznan 38.96% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 35.08% (-0.28)
No Goal 6.43% (+0.13)
Lech Poznan 58.49% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 58.55% (-0.17)
Equal 8 11.65% (+0.08)
Under 8 29.8% (+0.09)
Over 9 46.62% (-0.23)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.07)
Under 9 41.45% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 35.44% (-0.27)
Under 10.5 64.56% (+0.27)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 26.69% (-1.20)
Under 1.5 73.31% (+1.21)
Over 2.5 8.67% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 91.33% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 2.2% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 97.8% (+0.24)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 80.04% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 19.96% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 49.97% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 50.03% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 23.96% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 76.04% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.15% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 90.85% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 23.59%
Draw 24.65%
Lech Poznan 51.7%
Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 5.96% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 2.25% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.16% (-0.23)
Total : 23.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 6.43% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 24.65%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 10.03% (+0.45)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 8.89% (+0.33)
1-3 @ 5.65% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 4.76% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.09)
Other @ 9.11% (-0.07)
Total : 51.7%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 2, 2025 1.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 13, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena Lublin
  • Michal Krol 69' goal
  • goal Patrik Walemark 15'
  • goal Mikael Ishak 37'
  • yellowcard Filip Jagiello 53'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 7.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Mikael Ishak 24' goal
  • goal Samuel Mraz 26'
  • yellowcard Michal Krol 43'
  • yellowcard Pawel Stolarski 44'
  • goal Samuel Mraz 54'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudol 66'
  • yellowcard Krystian Palacz 88'