Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nieciecza win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nieciecza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-2 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.