Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 24
Mar 7, 2026 1.45pm
Exbud Arena

Korona Kielce vs Nieciecza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 4.30pm
Motor Lublin 2 - 0 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Mariusz Stepinski

Nieciecza

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 11.15am
Nieciecza 1 - 1 Radomiak Radom
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Rafal Kurzawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Nieciecza has a probability of 30.54% and a draw has a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Nieciecza win is 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result

Korona Kielce 43.27%
Draw 26.19%
Nieciecza 30.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.82%
Under 1.5 23.18%
Over 2.5 53.85%
Under 2.5 46.15%
Over 3.5 31.36%
Under 3.5 68.64%
Over 4.5 17.58%
Under 4.5 82.42%

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 31.79%
Draw 42.04%
Nieciecza 26.17%

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 50.69%
No Goal 6.31%
Nieciecza 43%

Corners

Over 8 60.96%
Equal 8 11.12%
Under 8 27.92%
Over 9 49.34%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 39.04%
Over 10.5 38.2%
Under 10.5 61.8%

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 43.99%
Under 1.5 56.01%
Over 2.5 19.56%
Under 2.5 80.44%
Over 3.5 6.89%
Under 3.5 93.11%

Nieciecza Goals

Over 0.5 67.47%
Under 0.5 32.53%
Over 1.5 34.09%
Under 1.5 65.91%
Over 2.5 12.86%
Under 2.5 87.14%
Over 3.5 4.16%
Under 3.5 95.84%

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 43.29%
Draw 26.18%
Nieciecza 30.53%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 9.48%
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 6.61%
Total : 43.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 6.18%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 26.18%
Nieciecza
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 4.36%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 30.53%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 30, 2025 1.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT