Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Nieciecza had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Nieciecza win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.