Polish Ekstraklasa
Mar 7, 2026 1.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Exbud Arena
  • Marcel Pieczek 43' goal
  • Konstantinos Sotiriou 52' goal
  • Dawid Blanik 64' yellowcard
  • Stjepan Davidovic 68' yellowcard
  • Nono 83' yellowcard
  • Hubert Zwozny 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artem Putivtsev 46'
  • yellowcard Morgan Faßbender 53'
  • yellowcard Krzysztof Kubica 53'
  • goal Ivan Durdov 58'
  • yellowcard Jesús Jiménez 65'
  • yellowcard Kamil Zapolnik 77'

Korona Kielce vs Nieciecza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 4.30pm
Motor Lublin 2 - 0 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Mariusz Stepinski

Nieciecza

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 11.15am
Nieciecza 1 - 1 Radomiak Radom
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Rafal Kurzawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Nieciecza had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Nieciecza win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Korona Kielce 43.32% (-0.05)
Draw 26.19%
Nieciecza 30.54% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.25% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.83% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.17% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 53.85% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 46.15% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 31.33% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 68.67% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 17.56% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.44% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 31.79%
Draw 42.04%
Nieciecza 26.17%

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 50.68%
No Goal 6.32% (-0.01)
Nieciecza 43% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.97% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.12%
Under 8 27.91% (-0.02)
Over 9 49.35% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 39.03% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 38.21% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 61.79% (-0.01)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.57%
Under 2.5 80.43%
Over 3.5 6.9% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.1% (-0.02)

Nieciecza Goals

Over 0.5 67.47% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 32.53% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 34.07% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 65.93% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 12.84% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.16% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.15% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.85% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 43.33%
Draw 26.19%
Nieciecza 30.54%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.62% (+0.01)
Total : 43.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 26.19%
Nieciecza
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-1 @ 7.41% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.36% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.87% (+0.04)
Total : 30.54%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 30, 2025 1.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT