Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.