Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 12, 2026 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Bradly van Hoeven 59' yellowcard
  • Mbaye Ndiaye 67' goal
  • Arkadiusz Najemski 79' yellowcard
  • Renat Dadashov 79' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Scalet 79' yellowcard
  • Filip Wojcik 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oskar Repka 10'
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos Silva 46'
  • yellowcard Isak Brusberg 59'
  • yellowcard Tomasz Pienko 59'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Rocha 74'
  • yellowcard Jonatan Braut Brunes 90'+2'

Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 1.45pm
Radomiak Radom 1 - 1 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Mbaye Ndiaye

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 1.45pm
Rakow 1 - 1 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Jonatan Braut Brunes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 32.43% (+0.03)
Draw 26.5% (-0.02)
Rakow Czestochowa 41.01% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.55%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.66% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.34% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.5% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.9%
Under 3.5 70.1%
Over 4.5 16.43%
Under 4.5 83.57%

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 27.68%
Draw 42.51%
Rakow Czestochowa 29.81%

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 43.23% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.75% (-0.01)
Rakow Czestochowa 50.02%

Corners

Over 8 55.22% (+0.23)
Equal 8 11.92% (+0.01)
Under 8 32.86% (-0.25)
Over 9 43.32% (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.9% (+0.04)
Under 9 44.78% (-0.23)
Over 10.5 32.43% (+0.16)
Under 10.5 67.57% (-0.17)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 34.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.58% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.82% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.18% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.75% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.25% (-0.02)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 74.35% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 25.65% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 41.58% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 58.42% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 17.49% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 82.51% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.23% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.77% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 32.44%
Draw 26.5%
Rakow Czestochowa 41.01%
Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 8.25%
2-1 @ 7.73%
2-0 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.57% (+0.01)
Total : 32.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93%
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.5%
Rakow Czestochowa
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88%
Other @ 6.05% (-0.01)
Total : 41.01%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2025 1.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 18
Dec 7, 2024 7.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Vladyslav Kochergin 10' goal
  • Jean Carlos 90'+4' goal
  • goal Marek Bartos 32'
  • yellowcard Sergi Samper 38'
  • goal Samuel Mraz 74'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Wolski 90'+16'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2024 7.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Sebastian Rudol 45' yellowcard
  • goal Ante Crnac 32'
  • yellowcard Adriano 37'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Racovitan 76'
  • yellowcard Ante Crnac 82'
  • goal Dawid Drachal 87'