Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 12, 2026 1.45pm
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 1.45pm
Radomiak Radom 1 - 1 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 1.45pm
Rakow 1 - 1 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jonatan Braut Brunes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Motor Lublin has a probability of 32.41% and a draw has a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win is 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Motor Lublin 32.41% (-0.03)
Draw 26.51% (+0.02)
Rakow Czestochowa 41.07% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.55% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.69% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.31% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 51.53% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 48.47% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 29.9% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.1% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.43% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.57% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 27.68%
Draw 42.51%
Rakow Czestochowa 29.81%

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 43.22%
No Goal 6.76% (-0.01)
Rakow Czestochowa 50.02% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.99% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.11% (-0.01)
Over 9 43.12% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 45.01% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 32.27%
Under 10.5 67.73%

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 34.39% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.61% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.8% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 87.2% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.74% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.26% (+0.03)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 74.41% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.59% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.36% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.53% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 82.47% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.76% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 32.4%
Draw 26.52%
Rakow Czestochowa 41.08%
Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.73%
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56% (-0.01)
Total : 32.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 26.52%
Rakow Czestochowa
0-1 @ 9.3% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.06% (-0.02)
Total : 41.08%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2025 1.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 18
Dec 7, 2024 7.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Vladyslav Kochergin 10' goal
  • Jean Carlos 90'+4' goal
  • goal Marek Bartos 32'
  • yellowcard Sergi Samper 38'
  • goal Samuel Mraz 74'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Wolski 90'+16'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2024 7.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Sebastian Rudol 45' yellowcard
  • goal Ante Crnac 32'
  • yellowcard Adriano 37'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Racovitan 76'
  • yellowcard Ante Crnac 82'
  • goal Dawid Drachal 87'