Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 20, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Mbaye Ndiaye 52' goal
  • Bradly van Hoeven 68' yellowcard
  • Jakub Labojko 68' yellowcard
  • Bright Ede 76' yellowcard
  • Thomas Santos 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jakub Kolan 62'
  • yellowcard Levente Szabó 62'
  • yellowcard Jakub Sypek 62'
  • yellowcard Michalis Kosidis 76'
  • yellowcard Mihael Mlinaric 76'
  • yellowcard 76'

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 5.00pm
Nieciecza 1 - 2 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mbaye Ndiaye

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 1.45pm
Zaglebie Lubin 0 - 1 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Mateusz Grzybek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 41.25%
Draw 26.53% (-0.05)
Zaglebie Lubin 32.17% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.75% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.43% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.57% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.47% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 69.53% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 17.11% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.89% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 31.36%
Draw 42.52%
Zaglebie Lubin 26.12%

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 50.79% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.77% (-0.05)
Zaglebie Lubin 42.44% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.29% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.45%
Under 8 23.26% (+0.02)
Over 9 54.88% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 33.71% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 43.49% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 56.51% (+0.01)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 41.81% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 58.19% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 18.01% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 81.99% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 6.34% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.66% (-0.04)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5 68.04% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 31.96% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.27% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 13.52% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.48% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.36% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.64% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 41.25%
Draw 26.53%
Zaglebie Lubin 32.17%
Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.07% (+0.04)
Total : 41.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 26.53%
Zaglebie Lubin
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.09% (+0.02)
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 21, 2025 11.15am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 18, 2025 11.15am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Samuel Mraz 1' goal
  • Mathieu Scalet 62' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 90'+2' yellowcard
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Nov 22, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Zaglebia Lubin
  • Marek Mroz 58' goal
  • Jaroslaw Jach 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Najemski 23'
  • yellowcard Krystian Palacz 31'
  • goal Piotr Ceglarz 44'
  • goal Samuel Mraz 78'