Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.24% and a win for Katowice had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%) , while for a Katowice win it was 1-2 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.