Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
Enea stadion

Lech Poznan vs Katowice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 7.15pm
Jagiellonia 0 - 0 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 11.15am
Katowice 1 - 0 Wisla Plock
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Bartosz Nowak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw has a probability of 22.24% and a win for Katowice has a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.83%) , while for a Katowice win it is 1-2 (6.28%).

Result

Lech Poznan 56.24% (-0.08)
Draw 22.24% (-0.04)
Katowice 21.52% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.48% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.5% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 17.5% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 62.2% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 37.8% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 38.32% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 61.68% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 24.01% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 75.99% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 41.08% (-0.02)
Draw 37.82%
Katowice 21.1% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 61.92% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.37% (-0.02)
Katowice 33.71% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.92% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 31.53% (-0.01)
Over 9 45.22%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 43.08% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 34.37% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 65.63% (-0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 57.81% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 42.19% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 30.59% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 69.41% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 13.65% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 86.35% (+0.01)

Katowice Goals

Over 0.5 60.32% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 39.68% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.08% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 70.92% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.9% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.1% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 56.24%
Draw 22.24%
Katowice 21.51%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 10.91%
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.02%
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 13.38%
Total : 56.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.02)
Total : 22.24%
Katowice
1-2 @ 6.28% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.48% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.63% (+0.03)
Total : 21.51%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 18, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Oskar Repka 14' goal
  • Arkadiusz Jedrych 49' yellowcard
  • Marcin Wasielewski 58' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Nowak 59' goal
  • Mateusz Marzec 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Walemark 33'
  • goal Patrik Walemark 43'
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 76'
  • yellowcard Antonio Milic 90'+1'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Mikael Ishak 4' goal
  • Ali Gholizadeh 57' goal
  • yellowcard Borja Galan 22'
  • yellowcard Marcin Wasielewski 41'