Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.