Polish Ekstraklasa
Mar 14, 2026 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Mateusz Wdowiak 39' goal
  • Ilya Shkurin 60' goal
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 75' yellowcard
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 76' yellowcard
  • Damian Rasak 83' yellowcard
  • Jakub Kokosiński 83' yellowcard
  • Adrian Blad 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bujar Pllana 46'
  • yellowcard Anton Tsarenko 64'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Viunnyk 64'
  • yellowcard Anton Tsarenko 65'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Viunnyk 65'
  • yellowcard Bartlomiej Kludka 68'
  • yellowcard Michal Glogowski 73'

Katowice vs Lechia Gdansk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 1.45pm
Radomiak Radom 0 - 1 Katowice
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bartosz Nowak

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.30pm
Gdansk 3 - 0 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Tomas Bobcek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Katowice 39.05% (-0.11)
Draw 26.36%
Lechia Gdansk 34.54% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.77% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.12% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 21.88% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 54.92% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 45.08% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 32.28% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 67.72% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 18.14% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 81.86% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Katowice 33.61%
Draw 40.19%
Lechia Gdansk 26.2%

Team To Score First

Katowice 50.3% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.98% (+0.07)
Lechia Gdansk 43.72% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.64% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.66% (+0.05)
Under 8 29.7% (-0.08)
Over 9 46.66% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.97% (+0.05)
Under 9 41.36% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.42% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 64.58% (+0.07)

Katowice Goals

Over 1.5 41.65% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 58.35% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 17.7% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 82.3% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 6.16% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 93.84% (+0.11)

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 0.5 70.68% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 29.32% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 38.08% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 61.92% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 15.55% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 84.45% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.08% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.92% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Katowice 39.05%
Draw 26.35%
Lechia Gdansk 34.55%
Katowice
2-1 @ 8.77% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.4% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.09% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.88% (-0.09)
Total : 39.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.98% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.02)
Total : 26.35%
Lechia Gdansk
1-2 @ 8.25% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.45% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.04% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.53% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.8% (-0.04)
Total : 34.55%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 12, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 34
May 24, 2025 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Energa Gdansk
  • Kacper Sezonienko 24' goal
  • Maksym Khlan 65' goal
  • Michal Glogowski 67' yellowcard
  • Camilo Mena 77' yellowcard
  • Milosz Kalahur 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Filip Szymczak 10'
  • goal Oskar Repka 75'
  • goal Milosz Kalahur 85' (OG)
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 17
Nov 30, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Arkadiusz Jedrych 15' goal
  • Adrian Blad 36' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Bergier 43' goal
  • yellowcard Maksym Khlan 1'