Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 24
Mar 6, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Energa Gdańsk
  • Rifet Kapic 43' goal
  • Tomasz Neugebauer 74' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Cirkovic 81' goal
  • Bogdan Viunnyk 89' yellowcard
  • Bartlomiej Kludka 90' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Cirkovic 90'+4' goal
  • Bartlomiej Kludka 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Montóia 62'
  • yellowcard Matías Nahuel 62'
  • yellowcard Samed Bazdar 73'
  • yellowcard Youssuf Sylla 88'

Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.30pm
Arka Gdynia 2 - 2 Gdansk
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Tomas Bobcek

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 1.45pm
Jagiellonia 2 - 2 Legia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Lechia Gdansk 40.54% (-0.11)
Draw 25.18%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 34.28% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.26% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.12% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 20.88% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 56.77% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 43.23% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 34.4% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 65.6% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 19.9% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 80.1% (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Lechia Gdansk 31.31% (+0.01)
Draw 40.13% (-0.01)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 28.56%

Team To Score First

Lechia Gdansk 48.75% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.56% (+0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.69% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.56%
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 26.48%
Over 9 50.96% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.6% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.44%
Over 10.5 39.7%
Under 10.5 60.3%

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 1.5 43.41% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 56.59% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 19.35% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 80.65% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 7.02% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 92.98% (+0.08)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 70.44% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.56% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.55% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.45% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.58% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.42% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lechia Gdansk 40.53%
Draw 25.18%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 34.28%
Lechia Gdansk
2-1 @ 8.89%
1-0 @ 8.14% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.74% (-0.06)
Total : 40.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.01)
Total : 25.18%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 8% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.17% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.95% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.4% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.3% (-0.01)
Total : 34.28%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 31, 2025 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 29, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Energa Gdansk
  • Dominik Pila 44' yellowcard
  • Bogdan V'Yunnik 65' goal
  • Milosz Kalahur 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Milosz Kalahur 90'+3' yellowcard
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 1.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Tomas Silva 13' goal
  • Jesus Imaz 71' goal
  • Mateusz Skrzypczak 75' goal
  • Michal Sacek 84' yellowcard
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Joao Moutinho 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Bogdan V'Yunnik 16'
  • yellowcard Elias Olsson 46'
  • goal Maksym Khlan 59'
  • yellowcard Bogdan V'Yunnik 69'