Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2026 1.45pm
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 1.45pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 1 Radomiak Radom
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
Legia 2 - 1 Wisla Plock
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Antonio Colak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Legia Warsaw has a probability of 31.11% and a draw has a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win is 0-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.74%).

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.52% (+0.18)
Draw 26.37% (-0.06)
Legia Warsaw 31.11% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.73% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.67% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 24.33% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 51.25% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 48.75% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 29.4% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 70.6% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 16.11% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 83.89% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 31.54%
Draw 42.54% (-0.04)
Legia Warsaw 25.92% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 50.18% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.09)
Legia Warsaw 42.99% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 58.28% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.93% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.8% (-0.08)
Over 9 46.05% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.23% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.72% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 34.62% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.38% (-0.05)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 41.91% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 58.09% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 17.74% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 82.26% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 5.89% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 94.11% (-0.10)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 67.12% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 32.88% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 33.24% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.76% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.39% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.71% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.29% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.52%
Draw 26.38%
Legia Warsaw 31.11%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.37% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.35% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.88% (+0.10)
Total : 42.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.69% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.38%
Legia Warsaw
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.7% (+0.04)
Total : 31.11%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 24, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 24, 2025 7.15pm
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 13, 2025 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Radovan Pankov 20' yellowcard
  • yellowcard T 21'
  • goal Darko Churlinov 41'
  • yellowcard Norbert Wojtuszek 56'
  • yellowcard Dusan Stojinovic 90'+1'
  • redcard Dusan Stojinovic 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 7.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jesus Imaz 35' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 44' yellowcard
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 74' yellowcard
  • Afimico Pululu 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kacper Chodyna 48'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Kapustka 63'
  • goal Marc Gual 67'
  • yellowcard Kacper Tobiasz 87'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 90'+6'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 7, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Marc Gual 30' goal
  • goal Jesus Imaz 83'
  • yellowcard Adrian Dieguez 88'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jose Naranjo 13' goal
  • Jesus Imaz 29' goal
  • Zlatan Alomerovic 62' yellowcard
  • Wojciech Laski 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Burch 49'
  • redcard Marco Burch 87'