Polish Ekstraklasa
Mar 1, 2026 1.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Leon Flach 17' goal
  • Afimico Pululu 22' goal
  • Andy Pelmard 46' yellowcard
  • Bartlomiej Wdowik 56' yellowcard
  • Dawid Drachal 73' yellowcard
  • Samed Bazdar 85' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Rallis 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bernardo Vital 45'+1' (OG)
  • goal Leon Flach 56' (OG)
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 70'
  • yellowcard Kacper Urbanski 70'
  • yellowcard Antonio Colak 74'
  • yellowcard Ermal Krasniqi 90'+3'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 1.45pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 1 Radomiak Radom
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
Legia 2 - 1 Wisla Plock
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Antonio Colak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.64% (+0.12)
Draw 26.38% (+0.01)
Legia Warsaw 31.03% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.94% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.72% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.28% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 51.27% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 48.73% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.7% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 70.3% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 16.29% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 83.71% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 31.84% (+0.31)
Draw 41.9% (-0.65)
Legia Warsaw 26.25% (+0.33)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 49.44% (-0.75)
No Goal 6.84% (+0.01)
Legia Warsaw 43.72% (+0.73)

Corners

Over 8 58.13% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.9% (-0.03)
Under 8 29.97% (+0.17)
Over 9 45.95% (-0.10)
Equal 9 12.18% (-0.06)
Under 9 41.87% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 34.57% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 65.43% (+0.06)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 42.22% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 57.78% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 17.89% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 82.11% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 6.02% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 93.98% (-0.13)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 66.97% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 33.03% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 33.14% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.86% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.39%
Under 2.5 87.61%
Over 3.5 3.77% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.23% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.64%
Draw 26.39%
Legia Warsaw 31.02%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.16% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.07)
Other @ 6.01% (+0.13)
Total : 42.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.39%
Legia Warsaw
0-1 @ 7.73% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.44% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.76% (+0.06)
Total : 31.02%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 24, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 24, 2025 7.15pm
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 13, 2025 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Radovan Pankov 20' yellowcard
  • yellowcard T 21'
  • goal Darko Churlinov 41'
  • yellowcard Norbert Wojtuszek 56'
  • yellowcard Dusan Stojinovic 90'+1'
  • redcard Dusan Stojinovic 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 7.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jesus Imaz 35' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 44' yellowcard
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 74' yellowcard
  • Afimico Pululu 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kacper Chodyna 48'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Kapustka 63'
  • goal Marc Gual 67'
  • yellowcard Kacper Tobiasz 87'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 90'+6'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 7, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Marc Gual 30' goal
  • goal Jesus Imaz 83'
  • yellowcard Adrian Dieguez 88'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jose Naranjo 13' goal
  • Jesus Imaz 29' goal
  • Zlatan Alomerovic 62' yellowcard
  • Wojciech Laski 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Burch 49'
  • redcard Marco Burch 87'