Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Feb 27, 2026 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • O. Kubiak 6' goal
  • Marc Navarro 46' goal
  • Vladislavs Gutkovskis 71' yellowcard
  • Aurélien Nguiamba 80' yellowcard
  • Dawid Kocyla 80' yellowcard
  • Patryk Szysz 86' yellowcard
  • goal Kacper Sezonienko 54'
  • goal Ivan Zhelizko 57'
  • yellowcard Tomasz Neugebauer 67'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Viunnyk 77'

Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdansk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 11.15am
Arka Gdynia 2 - 1 Katowice
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Marc Navarro

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 6.00pm
Gdansk 0 - 2 Zaglebie Lubin
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Tomas Bobcek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arka Gdynia win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arka Gdynia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Arka Gdynia 40.88% (-0.13)
Draw 26.19% (-0.05)
Lechia Gdansk 32.93% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.07% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.14% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 22.86% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 53.66% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 46.34% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 32.01% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 67.99% (-0.49)
Over 4.5 17.81% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 82.19% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Arka Gdynia 34.51% (+0.08)
Draw 40.29% (-0.04)
Lechia Gdansk 25.2% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Arka Gdynia 51.08% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.18% (-0.08)
Lechia Gdansk 42.74% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 58.74% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.62% (-0.03)
Under 8 29.64% (-0.06)
Over 9 46.81% (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.94% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.26% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 35.59% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 64.41% (-0.10)

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 1.5 42.24% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 57.76% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 18.04% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 81.96% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.09% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.91% (-0.05)

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 0.5 69.18% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 30.82% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 36.32% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 63.68% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 14.24% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 85.76% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 4.58% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 95.42% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Arka Gdynia 40.88%
Draw 26.19%
Lechia Gdansk 32.94%
Arka Gdynia
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.33% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.19% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.08)
Other @ 6% (+0.04)
Total : 40.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.37% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.28% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.02)
Total : 26.19%
Lechia Gdansk
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.49% (+0.11)
Total : 32.94%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 24, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT